This could be a challenge not only for mainstream political parties but also for religious parties, which are coming together in the coming days to prepare themselves for the upcoming elections.
As the two established religious parties Jamaat-e-Islami and Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (Muttahida) have agreed to revive the Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal (MMA) and the formal announcement will be made after the meeting in Karachi. In the first week of December, the Defense Pakistan Council (DPC), headed by Maulana Samiul Haq of the JUI-F, and the newly formed Milli Muslim League (MML) will also meet this week. Decide on the possibility of your alliance together. - O Justice (PTI).
The MMA, which started polling in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa in 2002 and had an impact on urban Sindh, could have an impact on both the PML-N and the PTI, especially the latter. However, the MMA suffered its first setback when the JUI-S decided to go with the PTI instead of the MMA. Maulana Samiul Haq and KP Chief Minister Pervez Khattak were instrumental in bringing about the JUI-S and PTI agreement.
The Jamaat-e-Islami, which has so far severed ties with neither the PTI nor the JUI-F, has said goodbye to the PML-N, but sources say that, after the revival of the MMA, Both are under pressure to leave the Muslim League and the PTI.
Although Maulana Fazlur Rehman is still reluctant to leave the government, the JI Shura already sees it as the result of an alliance with the PTI.
On the other hand, when PTI and DPC merge, it will not be easy for Imran Khan and PTI, as the MML is affiliated with Jamaat-ud-Dawa (JUD). Is still having trouble registering.
The two alliances, which have so far not considered inviting Tehreek-e-Labeek and its leader Khadim Hussain Rizvi, cannot ignore the current situation.
Rebellion and its effects on the general religious vote bank.
The new party and its trend also reminded of the rise of Jamiat Ulema-e-Pakistan (JUP) in the 1970s, when it had powerful leaders like Maulana Shah Ahmad Noorani and Maulana Abdul Sattar Niazi. Despite failing to win electoral support, the JUP remained a major political force. Later, its influence was lost as a result of the split in the JUP and the end of Afghan jihad in Pakistan.
JI Karachi Amir Hafiz Naeem admitted that this new party, Tehreek-e-Libek and its story is strong and is attracting a religious vote bank.
"I can feel the effects in Karachi as well," he added.
This situation may not be good news, for the PML-N in Punjab or for the MQM and PSP, in urban Sindh. Unprecedented protests in Punjab and large turnout in various cities, attacks on the homes of some federal and provincial ministers, resignations of some of the ruling party's MNAs and MPAs are already a cause for concern in the Muslim League camp.
All these developments have taken place at a time when former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif was about to launch his political campaign from December 2, which is now likely to be delayed.
Its impact on the PML-N may be far more damaging than in Panama. Now he needs the seriousness of the spirit in the ruling camp. Whatever political advantage Nawaz Sharif took after his disqualification from the Supreme Court, got lost in Faizabad through the GT Road March.
The PML-N and the government should not blame anyone but themselves for the political misunderstanding of the last 25 days. The party could lose its vote bank because of both the MML and the Tehreek-e-Libek, as Nawaz Sharif's traditional vote bank is the right wing.
Now, if the MML succeeds in registering with the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP), it will fight against the vote bank of Nawaz Sharif and his Kashmiris in every possible way while the rise of Tehreek-e-Libek, Barelvi votes Will attract.
The disturbing political scenario for Sharif, and the damage that has already been done to Imran Khan and the PTI, these new developments and the rise of the two parties will badly affect the traditional vote bank of the PML-N. How the PML-N will overcome this crisis is a real challenge for former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif.
The government has finally reached an agreement with Tehreek-e-Libek protesters, and that too in the first few days after the army chief's intervention, including the resignation of the federal law minister.
In politics, time is of the essence and by delaying the agreement, the PML-N government has lost the opportunity. In the past, the late Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto was the first to refuse the opposition's demand for fresh elections, which led to widespread unrest in the country. He finally agreed to the demand, but lost the initiative.
Tehreek-e-Libek rightly called the agreement its victory, which gave it the political boost it needed before the next election. The agreement came after a failed operation, which did not spread the movement across Pakistan, but caused great embarrassment and damage to the government.
In the last few months, two new religious parties have emerged on the national scene. Milli Muslim League (MML), the political face of Jamaat-ud-Dawa Ju (JUD) and Tehreek-e-Libek. These parties are now influencing our politics and we may see their active participation in the next elections.
Although the MML still faces difficulties in registering with the ECP, the Libek movement is already making its presence felt on the streets in the by-elections.
The political face of the JUD, the MML, is seen as a change in national security policy to bring these elements into mainstream politics, which for years has distanced itself from electoral politics, as they They understood democracy and voted against their ideology.
When electronic and social media were banned, the government made another mistake. The ban was also lifted after the army chief met the prime minister.
It will be interesting to see what path Tehreek-e-Libek will take, as its leadership has already announced that it will contest elections from all over Pakistan for the next elections. In the last 25 days, it has already lost its influence and ability to organize protests.
In its first election, in NA-120, it surprised many when the movement garnered more than 7,000 votes, and came third after the PML-N and PTI, and the PPP. And left Jamaat-e-Islami behind. He did not get such an answer in the Peshawar by-election. There are clear indications that the base camp of the movement will be Punjab and urban Sindh.
So far, he has not announced any support or plans to join any coalition, such as the Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal (MMA) or the Defense Pakistan Council, an alliance of two major religious parties of more than a dozen parties. Who formed them to consider their meetings.
For the federal government and the PML-N, it needs to think seriously about how to get out of this situation and do so.
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